Meetup #44 - Murphyjitsu
Anki (Memorization Software) for Beginners
Triangle SSC Meetup-January 30th
Sorted by Magic (New & Upvoted)
Magic (New & Upvoted)
Show Low Karma
Friday, January 10th 2020
Fri, Jan 10th 2020
Of arguments and wagers
Book review: Rethinking Consciousness
On Being Robust
What is Success in an Immoral Maze?
Outer alignment and imitative amplification
Offer of co-authorship
Example: Markov Chain
Halifax SSC Meetup -- Saturday 11/1/20
OB6, 1451 South Park Street suite 103, Halifax
Farewell to the Entertainer
I often see people making statements that sound to me like . . . "The entity in charge of bay area rationality should enforce these norms." or "The entity in charge of bay area rationality is bad for allowing x to happen." There is no entity in charge of bay area rationality. There's a bunch of small groups of people that interact with each other sometimes. They even have quite a bit of shared culture. But no one is in charge of this thing, there is no entity making the set of norms for rationalists, there is no one you can outsource the building of your desired group to.
You can't straightforwardly multiply uncertainty from different domains to propagate uncertainty through a model. Point estimates of differently shaped distributions can mean very different things i.e. the difference between the mean of a normal, bimodal, and fat tailed distribution. This gets worse when there are potential sign flips in various terms as we try to build a causal model out of the underlying distributions.