Compare it to other non-evidence-based "medical" procedures such as homeopathy of prayer-based healing.

Okay - I pay some attention to the skeptical community, such as the podcasts "The Skeptic's Guide to the Universe" and "Skeptoid". The two items you mention not only have no significant evidence for their efficacy, they have significant quantities of evidence against it, plus additional, even stronger, evidence against their claimed methods of operation. Thus, there is plenty of evidence to tot up, dragging the amount of confidence that anyone should have in those procedures to be in the minus dozens of decibans - say, -70 or below.

The most pessimistic estimate given on that page for successful cryonic revival is around 1/1000, or -30 decibans.

That's a minimum difference in confidence of 40 decibans - the equivalent of changing your mind from a 50/50 chance to 99.99% certainty. Or from 99.99% certainty of falsehood to a 50/50 chance. Or, put another way, at least two completely independent studies each with a p-value of 0.01 or better.

My conclusion: there's very little comparison between cryonics and pseudoscience.

Finally Ending My Cryo-Crastination

by DataPacRat 1 min read24th Sep 201244 comments


I've finally decided to take the plunge and make the arrangements for my eventual cryonic preservation. To help myself make sure that I actually follow through with everything necessary, I'm publicly pre-committing myself here to accomplish that.


As initial evidence that I'm actually serious about doing this, I've sent an email to The Cryonics Institute today, whose contents were as follows:

I have decided to finally stop procrastinating and make the necessary arrangements for my eventual cryonic preservation, and I have chosen CI to make those arrangements with.

I have looked through your membership pages and online sample forms, and I believe that I can work through my end of the paperwork without any real trouble, although I would still appreciate any advice you have to offer. For example, I live in Canada, about an hour's drive from Toronto, which might affect which forms are necessary.

Before I send my initial payment, I would at least like to confirm the basic details, and let you know who the money is coming from. It appears that, to start things off, I can Paypal you USD $110, for the yearly membership fee plus the first quarter's dues; after which I would mail you a physical, signed copy of the yearly membership application. After that, there will be a variety of documents to sign and have witnessed; and the insurance plan to arrange for. Is that a reasonable summary?

For the life insurance, I am thinking of a 20-year term policy with RBC (Royal Bank of Canada). Have you had any dealings with them previously, to know whether or not there will be any problems in setting the Cryonics Institute as the beneficiary? Do you have any recommendations about how large a benefit in excess of the basic USD $35,000 amount the policy should pay out, such as to cover currency-exchange fluctuations or the 'local help' rider?

Is there anything else you would recommend be discussed before I make that initial payment and set the ball in motion?