Another related idea we played around with, but which didn't make it into the final whitepaper:

What if we just assumed that Brier score was also predictive of good judgement. Then, people, could create a distribution over several measures of "how good will this organization do" and we could use standard probability theory and aggregation tools to create an aggregated final measure.

ozziegooen's Shortform

by ozziegooen 31st Aug 2019127 comments