I'm not sure I'd say that in the context of this post, but more generally, models are really useful. Predictions that come with useful models are a lot more useful than raw predictions. I wrote this other post about a similar topic.

For this specific post, I think what we're trying to get is the best prediction we could have had using data pre-event.

ozziegooen's Shortform

by ozziegooen 31st Aug 2019127 comments