Metaphorically, the Biointelligence Explosion represents an "event horizon" beyond which humans cannot model or understand the future.

As usual, the idea that we cannot model or understand the future is bunk. Wolfram goes on about this too - with his "computational irreducibility". Popper had much the same idea - in "The Poverty of Historicism". What is it about the unknowable future that makes it seem so attractive?

Also note the conflation between two types of singularity even though only one type (intelligence explosion) is in the name! Isn't the reason one would use the term "intelligence explosion" to distinguish your view from the event horizon one?

5JoshuaZ8yThere are a variety of different issues going on here. One is that there's a large history of very inaccurate predictions about the future, so they are reacting against that. Another is that predicting about the future with any accuracy is really hard. If the thesis were restricted to "predicting the future is so difficult that the vast majority of it is a waste of time" then it would look more reasonable. I suspect that when some people make this sort of assertion they mean something closer to this.

Biointelligence Explosion

by Dr_Manhattan 1 min read7th Nov 201116 comments


- Site put together by David Pearce

The content and choice of domain name should be of interest.