Elon Musk just announced a "live webcast of a working Neuralink device" Friday at 3PM PT. In the same vein of last year's Neuralink prediction post, feel free to specify what is likely/unlikely to be revealed, giving your credence. We will likely do a "scoring of the predictions" after the event (like in last year's post).
Related predictions
Related announcements
-- Elon Musk tweeted: "If you’ve solved hard problems with phones / wearables (sealing, signal processing, inductive charging, power mgmt, etc), please consider working at engineering@neuralink.com" (July 2020)
-- "If we implement neuralink - can we listen to music directly from our chips? Great feature." received the answer "yes" from Elon Musk.
Other resources for the prediction
--Elon Musk reveals new details about Neuralink on Joe Reagan (25 minutes, May 2020)
--neuralink's whitepaper (July 2019, 12 pages)
--neuralink's 2019 launch event presentation (July 2019, 1h44)
Note: I also know very little about this. Few thoughts on your guesses (and my corresponding credences):
--It seems pretty likely that it will be for humans (something that works for mices wouldn't be impressive enough for an announcement). In last year's white paper they were already inserting electrode arrays in the brain. But maybe you mean something that lives inside the brain independently? (90%)
--If by "significative damage" you mean "not altering basic human capabilities" then it sounds plausible. From the white paper th... (read more)