I have had the flu vaccine regulary for the past 5 years and have never had an adverse reaction. Further how are you sure the "reactions" you are having are from the vaccine?

Further how are you sure the "reactions" you are having are from the vaccine?

Sometimes it is clear that the reaction is from the vaccine, for example, if you arm is sore at the location of the flu shot injection of if you get dizzy and need to sit for 20 minutes in the doctor's office with monitoring. Other times it is less clear, possible reactions have to be taken in the context of how likely they are to occur randomly and how temporally linked they are to the shot. (For example, I wouldn't believe flu-like symptoms occurring a few weeks later is due to the shot.)

Random Flu Thoughts, including vaccination and base rates

by billswift 1 min read11th Nov 20119 comments

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I thought some of you might find this interesting, Random Flu Thoughts. The last part has a pretty good, if elementary, illustration of the importance of base rates.