Your scheme seems to be Jaynes's Ap distribution, discussed on LW here.

That is precisely what I was proposing, just he explains it much better of course. Thanks!

In the subsequent article he makes essentially the same argument as Lumifer's point about this having the potential to be turtles all the way down.

In a comment to the first article the author quotes Jaynes as saying:

What are we doing here? It seems almost as if we are talking about the ‘probability of a probability’. Pending a better understanding of what that means, let us adopt a cautious notation that will avoid giving possibly wrong impressions. We are not claim

... (read more)

Open thread, 18-24 August 2014

by David_Gerard 1 min read18th Aug 201481 comments


Previous open thread

If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.

Notes for future OT posters:

1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.

2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one.

3. Open Threads should be posted in Discussion, and not Main.

4. Open Threads should start on Monday, and end on Sunday.