Understanding and updating beliefs on deeply engrained topics can take enormous efforts, but sometimes it can be so hard that the listener cannot even in principle accept the new reality. The listener is simply not ready, he lacks a vast background of reasoning leading to the new understanding.
What fact that you know is true but most people aren't ready to accept it?
By "you know is true" I really mean "you are very confident to be true".
Feel free to use a dummy account.
soft asi, semi-general planners that can trounce humans at very difficult and complex well defined tasks, this year or next. hard asi, planners that can trounce humans at absolutely everything in an efficient package, less certain because soft ASI might slow things down rather than speed things up if safety goes well, but by 2028 it seems all but guaranteed to me. I haven't convinced other ppl so they buy it back up when I bet this, similar to the flood of people disagree-voting here. still gonna happen though.