Today's post, Disjunctions, Antipredictions, Etc. was originally published on 09 December 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):

 

A few tricks Yudkowsky uses to think about the future.


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1 comment, sorted by Click to highlight new comments since: Today at 4:46 PM

An AI might go from infrahuman to transhuman in less than a week?

That doesn't seem like quite an antiprediction. An antiprediction would be that it will take less than a week or more than a century. Predicting less than a week would take a bit of evidence on top of that.