|Ruby||v1.22.0Sep 25th 2020||(+22/-1)|
|habryka||v1.21.0Sep 15th 2020||(+4/-4) Fix Aumann Game link|
|Grognor||v1.20.0Feb 27th 2012||(+17)|
|Vladimir_Nesov||v1.19.0Mar 26th 2011||(+33) /* See also */ linked to [[Less Wrong meetup group resources]]|
|JenniferRM||v1.18.0Mar 21st 2011||(+935) /* Rules */ - Added a new variant to describe the game played using the code avaiable for scoring.|
|JenniferRM||v1.17.0Mar 20th 2011||(+491/-62) /* Scoring */ - Added link to github project for code to score the game.|
|Vladimir_Nesov||v1.16.0Oct 15th 2010||(+59) /* Blog posts */ added "see also"|
|Vladimir_Nesov||v1.15.0Oct 15th 2010||changed to the use of standard section levels|
|Vladimir_Nesov||v1.14.0Oct 15th 2010||/* Blog posts */|
|freyley||v1.13.0Oct 15th 2010||/* Questions */ Hey, white isn't 000000, it's FFFFFF|A variant of The Aumann Game where one player purposefully subverts the group estimate. Similar to The Aumann Game, the activity consists of a group jointly producing a confidence interval for an unknown, but verifiable quantity, which is then scored for accuracy and calibration. One individual is designated the spokesperson, who is responsible for choosing the final estimate. However, before the activity begins, one individual is secretly assigned the role of misleading the other members. The deceiver is scored higher the worse the final estimate is.
It's really easy to ask a question that is then very difficult to answer later. For example, the question "How many miles of railroad are there in Africa?" is somewhat difficult to answer. Walking through the CIA World Fact Book one country at a time, we arrived at an answer in the range of 48,000-49,
000 . However, in cross-checking that information, we discovered that in Uganda, there are only 125 miles of active railroad, but 1200km listed in the Fact Book. It seems likely, therefore, that the total estimate includes some non-active miles of railroad, and is thus too high. This section is here to list good and bad questions and resources to get questions from or answer questions unusually easily. If listing an answer, please make the text of the answer white so people can use it if they want.