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Forecast
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Created by
PeerInfinity
at
3y
Grognor
v1.14.0
Mar 10th 2012
(
+30
/
-11
)
2
Planning fallacy
Exploratory engineering
Prediction
,
Possibility
prediction market
,
possibility
Representativeness bias
,
Absurdity heuristic
Hindsight bias
Existential risk
PeerInfinity
v1.13.0
Sep 28th 2009
(
+54
/
-54
)
1
Blog posts
The 80% Forecasting Solution
by
Robin Hanson
Blog posts
The 80% Forecasting Solution
by
Robin Hanson
Vladimir_Nesov
v1.11.0
Sep 25th 2009
(+30)
/* See also */
2
Planning fallacy
Exploratory engineering
Prediction
,
Possibility
Representativeness bias
,
Absurdity heuristic
Hindsight bias
Existential risk
Vladimir_Nesov
v1.10.0
Sep 25th 2009
(+67)
/* See also */
2
Planning fallacy
Exploratory engineering
Prediction
,
Possibility
Representativeness bias
,
Absurdity heuristic
Vladimir_Nesov
v1.8.0
Sep 25th 2009
(+23)
/* See also */
2
Planning fallacy
Exploratory engineering
PeerInfinity
v1.6.0
Aug 6th 2009
(
+4
/
-4
)
1
See
Also
also
PeerInfinity
v1.5.0
Aug 6th 2009
(
+10
/
-77
)
1
References
Blog posts
Footnotes
Overcoming Bias Articles
Less Wrong Articles
Other Resources
bjr
v1.3.0
Apr 18th 2009
(
+50
/
-34
)
1
Planning fallacy
Overcoming Bias Articles
Less Wrong Articles
Other Resources
The 80% Forecasting Solution
by
Robin Hanson
Less Wrong Articles
Other Resources
bjr
v1.2.0
Apr 18th 2009
(+85)
1
See Also
References
Footnotes
Overcoming Bias Articles
Less Wrong Articles
Other Resources
PeerInfinity
v1.0.0
Apr 9th 2009
(+44)
New page: [http://www.overcomingbias.com/2006/12/the_80_forecast.html The 80% Forecasting Solution by Robin Hanson] {{CopiedFromRationalistDictionary}}
1
The 80% Forecasting Solution by Robin Hanson
Possibilityprediction market, possibility