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Overconfidence

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Overconfidence
Blog posts
See also
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2Grognor
2Vladimir_Nesov
1PeerInfinity
1bjr
0Ruby

Overconfidence is the state of being more certain than is justified, given your priors and the evidence available.

Blog posts

  • Moral Overconfidence by Robin Hanson
  • When Error is High, Simplify by Robin Hanson
  • Academic Overconfidence by Robin Hanson
  • Bosses Prefer Overconfident Managers by Robin Hanson
  • Convenient Overconfidence by Robin Hanson
  • Overconfidence Explained by Robin Hanson
  •  

See also

  • Underconfidence
  • Status, Modesty
  • Dangerous knowledge