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Underconfidence

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Underconfidence
Blog posts
See also
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2Grognor
2Zack_M_Davis
2Vladimir_Nesov
1PeerInfinity
1bjr

Underconfidence is the state of being more uncertain than is justified, given your priors and the evidence you are aware of.

Blog posts

  • "I don't know."
  • The Sin of Underconfidence
  • The Importance of Self-Doubt by multifoliaterose

See also

  • Overconfidence
  • Modesty
  • Fallacy of gray
  • I don't know
  • Motivated skepticism
Posts tagged Underconfidence
4
113Say Wrong Things
Gordon Seidoh Worley
4y
12
4
94The Sin of Underconfidence
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
185
3
136Irrational Modesty
Tomás B.
2y
6
2
175A Sketch of Good Communication
Ben Pace
5y
35
2
76Status Regulation and Anxious Underconfidence
Eliezer Yudkowsky
5y
17
2
63Against Modest Epistemology
Eliezer Yudkowsky
5y
48
2
45Against Shooting Yourself in the Foot
Eliezer Yudkowsky
6y
3
2
45The Limits of Intelligence and Me: Domain Expertise
ChrisHallquist
9y
79
2
37Simultaneous Overconfidence and Underconfidence
abramdemski
8y
6
2
28The Importance of Self-Doubt
multifoliaterose
13y
746
2
17A note about calibration of confidence
jbay
7y
35
2
10How confident should we be?[anonymous]11y
19
1
35The underappreciated value of original thinking below the frontier
Emrik
2y
2
1
7Thinking without priors?
Q Home
10mo
0
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