LESSWRONGTags
LW

Underconfidence

EditHistory
Discussion(0)
Help improve this page(1 flags)

Underconfidence is the state of being more uncertain than is justified, given your priors and the evidence you are aware of.

Blog posts

  • "I don't know."
  • The Sin of Underconfidence
  • The Importance of Self-Doubt by multifoliaterose

See also

  • Overconfidence
  • Modesty
  • Fallacy of gray
  • I don't know
  • Motivated skepticism
Posts tagged Underconfidence
Most Relevant
4
100Say Wrong Things
G Gordon Worley III
2y
11
4
74The Sin of Underconfidence
Eliezer Yudkowsky
12y
185
2
55Status Regulation and Anxious Underconfidence
Eliezer Yudkowsky
3y
10
2
53Against Modest Epistemology
Eliezer Yudkowsky
3y
49
2
45The Limits of Intelligence and Me: Domain Expertise
ChrisHallquist
7y
79
2
38Against Shooting Yourself in the Foot
Eliezer Yudkowsky
3y
3
2
36Simultaneous Overconfidence and Underconfidence
abramdemski
6y
6
2
28The Importance of Self-Doubt
multifoliaterose
11y
746
2
17A note about calibration of confidence
jbay
5y
35
2
10How confident should we be?[anonymous]9y
19
Add Posts