An Ask Me Anything (AMA) post is an invitation to ask the author questions. .. (read more)
Futarchy is a proposed government system in which decisions are made based on betting markets. It was originally proposed by Robin Hanson, who gave the motto "Vote on Values, But Bet on Beliefs"... (read more)
Posts about deciding whether to have children, how many children to have, when to have children, etc. Also called parenthood decision-making... (read more)
A common Failure mode is failing to notice a Distinction between two or more things. on the other hand, noticing distinctions can lead to insight, dissolving confusion, and better results... (read more)
the Kelly criterion (or Kelly strategy or Kelly bet), also known as the scientific gambling method, is a formula for bet sizing that leads almost surely to higher wealth compared to any other strategy in the long run (i.e. approaching the limit as the number of bets goes to infinity). (Wikipedia).. (read more)
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Löb's Theorem is theorem proved by Martin Hugo Löb which states: .. (read more)