All of alfalfajor's Comments + Replies

Cultural accumulation

There's a section on building bicycles in the middle ages in "a Connecticut Yankee in King Arthur's Court" which plays a similar thought experiment and which you might enjoy. 

But to answer this question seriously: there is a form of Moore's law that has been in place at least since the late middle ages, and probably for longer, coming from the fact that any economic model that takes into account both goods and capital (the machines and infrastructure to build more and better goods) has a compounding growth component. This is true even if you ignore cu... (read more)

2Daniel Kokotajlo1y
I agree with all this. However, you wouldn't need to get anywhere close to modern technological levels to take over the world; all you need is technology that is superior to whatever your enemies have. And you don't even need this technology to be distributed throughout the regions you control; you just need it for your military, and not even that--just for your most elite troops.
Can we hold intellectuals to similar public standards as athletes?

My impression of the proposed idea is to create a "hard" intellectual accountability system for intellectuals by sampling some "falsifiable" subspace of idea space, similar to what exists for superpredictors and athletes. This certainly seems helpful in some areas, and I think is similar to the purpose of politifact.

But then there's the risk of falling into the Marxist mistake: that if something isn't quantifiable or "hard" it is not useful. The idea that "hard" production matters (farmers, factory workers, etc.) while "soft" production (merchants, market ... (read more)

Coronavirus: Justified Practical Advice Thread

The official guideline is 60C for 30 minutes. https://www.hindawi.com/journals/av/2011/734690/ claims 56C for 15 minutes is enough. Personally, for homogenous wet stuff I would heat until close to boiling/fizzing, then wait 5 minutes and feel safe consuming.

Coronavirus: Justified Practical Advice Thread

Advice: when prepared food contamination risk becomes high, order in food that can be heated and microwave it thoroughly before eating

1alfalfajor2y
The official guideline is 60C for 30 minutes. https://www.hindawi.com/journals/av/2011/734690/ [https://www.hindawi.com/journals/av/2011/734690/] claims 56C for 15 minutes is enough. Personally, for homogenous wet stuff I would heat until close to boiling/fizzing, then wait 5 minutes and feel safe consuming.
6Elizabeth2y
What kind of heat is necessary to get what safety boost?