All of BerryPick6's Comments + Replies

What Bayesianism taught me

Bayes' Theorem is taught in High-School here, at all levels of math.

2Jayson_Virissimo8yWhere is "here"? I didn't encounter Bayes' Rule in an academic setting until I took a finite maths class at university (in Arizona, US). Edit: Well, actually I was recommended a book called Choice and Chance by Brian Skyrms by a philosophy professor which explicitly teaches it in the context of Bayesian epistemology, but that was the result of out-of-class conversation and was not related to any particular course I was taking. BTW, I whole-heartedly recommend the book as an introduction to inductive logic.
More "Stupid" Questions

Some mixture of verbal thinking, and what I can only really describe as 'thinking in rules'.

Welcome to Less Wrong! (6th thread, July 2013)

I sometimes forget how much untapped potential in term of networking opportunities Less Wrong holds.

Open Thread, July 1-15, 2013

Probably made even more difficult because I misremembered the letter. It was G*, and the article was The Importance of Goodhart's Law. It suddenly came back to me in a flash after seeing your reply, so thanks!

Open Thread, July 1-15, 2013

I need help finding a particular thread on LW, it was a discussion of either utility or ethics, and it utilized the symbols Q and Q* extensively, as well as talking about Lost Purposes. My inability to locate it is causing me brain hurt.

2gwern8yThat's hard, because search engines have been dumbed down to the point where you can't google for a literal 'Q*'... A local search turned up http://lesswrong.com/lw/1zv/the_shabbos_goy/ [http://lesswrong.com/lw/1zv/the_shabbos_goy/] as having one use of 'Q*' and bringing up 'lost purposes'.
How I Became More Ambitious

If you're having difficulty with Akrasia and procrastination and you are still looking for solutions, might I suggest the Less Wrong Study Hall? We do constant pomodoros of 25 minutes work, 5 minutes rest, and many of us have found it tremendously effective.

(This is a result of the Co-Working Collaboration to Combat Akrasia post)

1Swimmer9638yIt's on my list of "things to try as part of my San Francisco trip followup." Thanks!
Open Thread, July 1-15, 2013

This conversation just metacitasized.

It's okay, I'll show myself out.

Open Thread, July 1-15, 2013

Also, aren't MRI's going to be a problem?

9Qiaochu_Yuan8yNot everything I know about what I know about tacit knowledge is tacit!
July 2013 Media Thread

I really liked about half of it, and thought the other half was meh.

1David_Gerard8yKanye West is an extremely talented musician, so even when he sucks I find it interesting. Edit: Playing Yeezus now ... yeah, this is entirely disappointing compared to MBDTF and I'm thinking "what happened?" I realise he's going from deliberate maximalism to deliberate minimalism, but nevertheless ... He's also under the delusion he's as good at words as he is at music.
July 2013 Media Thread

I find it tough to explain stuff like this. I just thought it was crap, and didn't understand an ounce of the hype or adoration. There may be nothing deeper to it than I just didn't enjoy it.

4gothgirl4206668yFair enough, I guess. Out of curiosity, did you like MBDTF?
July 2013 Media Thread

I thought it was terrible.

3gothgirl4206668yWhy?
Meetup : Israel LW meetup

Crap, I need to adjust the chances of me making it due to unforeseen stuff. I'd say about 50-50 right now.

Meetup : Israel LW meetup

I'll be there. I can give anyone who needs a ride to and from Jerusalem.

0BerryPick68yCrap, I need to adjust the chances of me making it due to unforeseen stuff. I'd say about 50-50 right now.
The Mystery At The Heart of Central Banking

:D

My sister was a Gadna instructor. She got all the crazy Russian kids who would fill their canteens with Vodka.

I get drafted in a few weeks. If you have a day off, I think LW Israel is meeting on July 4th, you should join us!

1[anonymous]8yAre you American? A volunteer or aliyah? I have plans for the 4th but at the very least I'd like to warn you to stay the hell away from the Education Corps (it's so embarrassing just writing that).
1DanArmak8yYes, we're meeting. The Google Group we used for organizing is: https://groups.google.com/forum/#!forum/lesswrong-tel-aviv [https://groups.google.com/forum/#!forum/lesswrong-tel-aviv] Should do a meetup post...
The Mystery At The Heart of Central Banking

I’m a self-taught 20 year-old American currently serving as a volunteer soldier in the Israeli Defense Force, where I am a proud senior vice supply closet manager at an army-themed summer camp for the worst teenagers in the Middle East.

Gadna, I presume?

1[anonymous]8yDammit why do you know what that is.
Open Thread, June 16-30, 2013

Someone needs to redo that website before my eyes explode.

1Mestroyer8yJust use your browser's zoom.
Elites and AI: Stated Opinions

Why on earth downvote this? (Was at -2)

Welcome to Less Wrong! (5th thread, March 2013)

I don't know what you mean by that, but I resolved my weird ethical quasi-nihilism through a combination of studying Metaethics and reading Luke's metaethical sequence, so you might want to do that as well, if only for the terminology.

1Articulator8ySorry, what I meant was that while I am using something similar to Error Theory, I was also going beyond that and using it as a premise in other arguments. All I meant was that it wasn't the entirety of my argument. I certainly plan on reading those, but thanks for the advice. Hopefully I'll be up to date with terminology by the end of the summer.
Welcome to Less Wrong! (5th thread, March 2013)

I think "moral anti-realist" is better, but not by much.

Specifically, they seem to be talking about something similar to Error Theory.

1Articulator8yWell, I just looked it up, and I'd agree with it, though I do use it more as an intermediate conclusion than an actual end point.
Effective Altruism Through Advertising Vegetarianism?

It's not a variant of Pascal's Mugging, because the chances aren't vanishingly small and the payoff isn't nearly infinite.

Useful Concepts Repository

Yes, the original distinction was between "Sibolet" and "Shibolet". "Th" isn't even a sound that exists in Hebrew.

Useful Concepts Repository

וְהָיָה כִּי יֹאמְרוּ פְּלִיטֵי אֶפְרַיִם, אֶעֱבֹרָה, וַיֹּאמְרוּ לוֹ אַנְשֵׁי-גִלְעָד הַאֶפְרָתִי אַתָּה, וַיֹּאמֶר לֹא. ו וַיֹּאמְרוּ לוֹ אֱמָר-נָא שִׁבֹּלֶת וַיֹּאמֶר סִבֹּלֶת, וְלֹא יָכִין לְדַבֵּר כֵּן, וַיֹּאחֲזוּ אוֹתוֹ, וַיִּשְׁחָטוּהוּ אֶל-מַעְבְּרוֹת הַיַּרְדֵּן; וַיִּפֹּל בָּעֵת הַהִיא, מֵאֶפְרַיִם, אַרְבָּעִים וּשְׁנַיִם, אָלֶף.

...

3Dr_Manhattan8yThis gets irony points, since the real (well, modern Hebrew) pronunciation is "Shibolet", and "Shiboleth" would identify you as a foreigner.
Rationality Quotes June 2013

I only really think using voices. Whenever I read, if I'm not 'hearing' the words in my head, nothing stays in.

Circular Altruism

Because it's one of the parameters of the thought experiment that a dust speck causes a miniscule amount of disutility.

Circular Altruism

That'd be Fighting the Hypothetical.

-2JDM8yIt's an extremely hypothetical situation. However, why should it, ignoring externalities as the problem required, be measured at any disutility? That dust speck has no impact on my life in any way, other than making me blink. No pain is involved.
"Politics is the mind-killer" is the mind-killer

I think yes. Are the chances of this happening >20%?

1Rob Bensinger8yProbably not in the near future, but I need more feedback to have confident estimates. It sounds like there's some interest in the idea, so I think I'll start a new Discussion page to drum up more ideas and concerns.
Optimizing for attractiveness

Seconding the Rippetoe program recommendation, it worked well for me.

10-Step Anti-Procrastination Checklist

Meh. Found that I was doing most of these things without even noticing it consciously anyway.

Rationality Quotes May 2013

That's been posted at least twice before that I can remember.

Meetup : Tel Aviv, Israel Meetup - Goal Clarification with special guest Cat from CFAR

I had the exact same reaction, except the other way 'round. :D

(Also, the street i apparently written "Mazeh", despite being an acronym.)

0Viliam_Bur8yGreat! Looking forward to having you!
How to Build a Community

Yes, the conversation with drnickbone below is how my response would have gone as well, and you're right in that sometimes consequences matter to Deontologists and sometimes they don't. I also think we've had this conversation before, because I remember that example. :D

How to Build a Community

If for no other reason than you are creating the perception that deotologist never consider consequence. Which is a stupid position that no deotologists should accept.

Someone should have told Kant that.

2TimS8yKant thinks this argument should work? Because that argument is stupid, and I don't think [http://lesswrong.com/lw/g7y/morality_is_awesome/87sw] a deontoligist needs to accept it.
The Unselfish Trolley Problem

Thank you. Thank you. Thank you.

10-Step Anti-Procrastination Checklist

Good call. I don't normally like Post-Rock, but when I'm studying, I can just plug it into Pandora and go.

10-Step Anti-Procrastination Checklist

This looks like it might be helpful for me. I shall report back in a few days with some data points. Thanks for this!

4beriukay8yVerdict?
Meetup : Tel Aviv, Israel Meetup - Goal Clarification with special guest Cat from CFAR

Wow, I've been hoping for this for a while now. :)

I really, really hope I'll be able to attend, and if I do, I can give up to two people a ride from Jerusalem. Unfortunately, I have a test that same day, and I do not yet know the time at which it will take place, so I can't RSVP quite yet.

1hazirafel8yhey! i would like a ride from Jerusalem! how can i contact you?
2BerryPick68yOkay, I can make it.
Open Thread, May 1-14, 2013

I know how most atheists feel about the Bible. Really, I do. But if you don't understand what's so powerful about a book, and you want to know, then you really should give it a try—I might say that the last chapter of Moroni especially addresses this.

I grew up on the Bible. I studied the Bible for over a decade. I have read the Old Testament in Hebrew.

It's the most boring thing I've ever laid eyes on.

3[anonymous]8yI'll agree with that, some parts of it are incredibly boring. (Though some parts could make an awesome action flick.)
3Desrtopa8yI've always marveled at peoples' assertions that, even if they don't believe the bible is the word of God, they still respect it as a great work of literature. I suspect that they really do believe it, humans can invest a whole lot of positive associations with things simply through expectation and social conditioning. But my opinion of it as a literary work is low enough that I have a hard time coming up with any sort of of comparison which doesn't make it sound like I'm making a deliberate effort to mock religious people.
Open Thread, May 1-14, 2013

Um, why cut off the conversation at this point rather than your original one, in that case?

-5[anonymous]8y
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