Interesting! Did thinking about those variants make you update your credences in SIA/SSA (or else)?
(Btw, maybe it's worth adding the motivation for thinking about these problems in the intro of the post.) :)
Thanks a lot for these comments, Oscar! :)
I think something can't be both neat and so vague as to use a word like 'significant'.
I forgot to copy-paste a footnote clarifying that "as made explicit in the Appendix, what "significant" exactly means depends on the payoffs of the game"! Fixed. I agree this is vague, still, although I guess it has to be since the payoffs are unspecified?
In the EDT section of Perfect-copy PD, you replace some p's with q's and vice versa, but not all, is there a principled reason for this? Maybe it is just a mistake and it s
Fwiw, Lukas's comment link to a post arguing against that and I 100% agree with it. I think the "Alignment will solve s-risks as well anyway" is one the most untrue and harmful widespread memes in the EA/LW community.