Irrelevant. If there is any possible explanation where he provides the support
without that specific deal, it is automatically less likely that both happen,
even if the most likely scenario (90%+) of supporting unwed mothers is given
said deal. If it is the only possibility, the scenarios would be equally likely;
the conjunction could still not possibly be more likely.
Reagan would be unlikely to provide support to unwed mothers, but maybe as part of a deal in which he got what he wanted, a reduction in expenditures.