All of Ozzie Gooen's Comments + Replies

[Part 1] Amplifying generalist research via forecasting – Models of impact and challenges

If you are asking if we could effectively use some transformation on their results to get a useful signal, my strong net is “maybe, but barely so.” I know there are cases in finance where poor predictors are actually systematically wrong, in ways that a good predictor could use for updating; but expect that’s for specific reasons we don’t have.