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What's your hypothetical apostasy?

5y
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Is protecting yourself from your own biases self-defeating?

5y
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Unintentional bayesian

5y
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Recent Comments

I was actually admitted at a few universities in the UK and the USA, but I can't afford to attend.

None taken, but how can you assess my level of rationality? When will I be enough rationalist to say things like that?

What bias did I use to justify another bias?

Again, testing a hypothesis when somebody's life is at stake is, I think, paramount to being a good doctor. What's the threshold of ev...(read more)

Thanks for clearing up my confusion.

The doctor **believed** that the girl didn't have any serious disease because most people who have headaches do not. How exactly is that not an appeal to majority?

If the doctor's hypothesis anticipates that the girl is healthy in spite of having headaches, then the easiest way to falsify it is to ...(read more)

> The vast majority of people with headaches don't have anything to worry about.

If you had a headache, would you want your doctor to find out its cause or would you be satisfied if he told you that 'the vast majority of people with headaches don't have anything to worry about' and sent you home st...(read more)

As somebody who's had to deal with doctors because of a plethora of diseases, I must say you're absolutely right. (I also shadowed a few and am considering applying to med school.)

I don't remember what this concept is called, but basically it posits that "one should look for horses, not zebras" an...(read more)

As I said, you can practice without doing a residency but you'll only be able to do some family medicine stuff.

I guess somewhere around 20-30k USD per year would suffice.

> After completing an undergraduate degree in medicine, are you really a doctor?

Sort of. You can be an almost-family doctor; that is, you'll have most responsabilities one has. If you want to become a full-family doctor, you do your residency. If, however, you plan on becoming a specialist, you mu...(read more)

> Are there any obvious bad consequences of turning out to be a not-great researcher? Are there any specific ones you are trying to avoid?

The worst one: I would eventually die. Immortality is my long-term goal. See: http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/02/write-your-hypothetical-apostasy.html.

As f...(read more)