All of waiting-for-gordon's Comments + Replies

April Coronavirus Open Thread

How Large is the Iceberg? New Evidence from Kansas City

The details are currently vague, but I have tried to report key information, as this is one of the few efforts at random sampling that I am aware of. My main hope is to inspire someone with more expertise and ability to access details to expand the analysis.


Basics:
Johnson County, with a population of 602k, has reported on preliminary results from an effort to test a representative sample of its residents. I have been unable to find details about how they constructed the sample, so cannot assess how re... (read more)

1muchcharles1yHow would 0.1% IFR square with New York’s state fatality rate of .08%? Seems unlikely it is representative, or it Johnson city was at earlier stage and had more recent exponential growth.