LESSWRONG
LW

731
habryka
47988Ω17982695598118
Message
Dialogue
Subscribe

Running Lightcone Infrastructure, which runs LessWrong and Lighthaven.space. You can reach me at habryka@lesswrong.com. 

(I have signed no contracts or agreements whose existence I cannot mention, which I am mentioning here as a canary)

Sequences

Posts

Sorted by New

Wikitag Contributions

Comments

Sorted by
Newest
A Moderate Update to your Artificial Priors
A Moderate Update to your Organic Priors
Concepts in formal epistemology
56Habryka's Shortform Feed
Ω
6y
Ω
436
246Banning Said Achmiz (and broader thoughts on moderation)
1mo
379
97Measuring the Impact of Early-2025 AI on Experienced Open-Source Developer Productivity
2mo
43
23Open Thread - Summer 2025
3mo
68
93ASI existential risk: Reconsidering Alignment as a Goal
5mo
14
356LessWrong has been acquired by EA
6mo
52
782025 Prediction Thread
9mo
21
23Open Thread Winter 2024/2025
9mo
59
46The Deep Lore of LightHaven, with Oliver Habryka (TBC episode 228)
9mo
4
36Announcing the Q1 2025 Long-Term Future Fund grant round
9mo
2
112Sorry for the downtime, looks like we got DDosd
10mo
13
Load More
How To Dress To Improve Your Epistemics
habryka14h3316

FWIW, this is generally true for design things. In web-design people tend to look for extremely simple surface-level rules (like "what is a good font?" and "what are good colors?") in ways that IMO tends to basically never work. Like, you can end up doing an OK job if you go with a design framework of not looking horrendous, but when you need to make adjustments, or establish a separate brand, there really are no rules at that level of abstraction. 

I often get very frustrated responses when people come to me for design feedback and I respond with things like "well, I think this website is communicating that you are a kind of 90s CS professor? Is that what you want?" and then they respond with "I mean... what? I asked you whether this website looks 'good', what does this have to do with 90s CS professors? I just want you to give me a straight answer".

And like, often I can make guesses about what their aims are with a website and try to translate things into a single "good" or "bad" scalar, but it usually just fails because I don't know what people are going for. IMO the same tends to be true for fashion. 

Almost any piece of clothing you can buy will be the right choice in some context, or given some aim! If you are SBF then in order to signal your contrarian genius you maybe want to wear mildly ill-fitting tees with your company logo to your formal dinners. Signaling is complicated and messy and it's very hard to give hard and fast rules.

In many cases the things people tend to ask here often feel to me about as confused as people saying "can you tell me how to say good things in conversations? Like, can someone just write down at a nuts-and-bolts level what makes for being good at talking to people?". Like, yes, of course there are skills related to conversations, but it centrally depends on what you are hoping to communicate in your conversations!

Reply1
A Review of Nina Panickssery’s Review of Scott Alexander’s Review of “If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies”
habryka2d81

Aella is the partner of one of the authors! Of course she had advance access! I don't know about Grimes, seems plausible to me (though not super clear whether to count here as sympathetic or critical, I don't really know what she believes about this stuff, and also she has a lot of reach otherwise). 

Reply
A Review of Nina Panickssery’s Review of Scott Alexander’s Review of “If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies”
habryka2d5-1

I also don't think sympathetic people who aren't writing book reviews got copies in-advance, so my best guess is stuff is relatively symmetric. I don't really know how copies were distributed, but my sense is not that many advance copies were distributed in-total (my sense is largely downstream of publisher preference).

Reply
Obligated to Respond
habryka2d82

For me the answer is "roughly the beginning of the 20th century?"

Like, seems to me that around that time humanity had enough of the pieces figured out to make a more naturalistic worldview work pretty well. 

It's kind of hard to specify what it would have meant to press that button some centuries earlier, since like, I think a non-trivial chunk of religion was people genuinely trying to figure out what reality is made out of, and what the cosmology of the world is, etc. Depending on the details of this specification I would have done it earlier. 

Reply
My AI Vibes are Shifting
habryka3d410

Those companies are run by humans, so no, of course the world does not look like total human disempowerment to me? 

If practically all of the world's governments and corporations were run by AIs... well, then I expect we would be dead, but if for some reason we were not, it seems very likely that yes, that would constitute total human disempowerment.

Reply
LessWrong is migrating hosting providers (report bugs!)
habryka5d20

Yeah, my model is if someone does this once they'll waive the charges. We already had autoscaling in our previous hosting context and both under the current setup and the previous setup people could DDos us if they want to take us down. Within a week or so we could likely switch things around to be robust against most forms of DDos (probably at some cost to user-experience and development experience).

If someone does this a lot, we can just turn on billing limits, and then go down instead of going bankrupt, which is roughly the same situation we were in before.

Reply
LessWrong is migrating hosting providers (report bugs!)
habryka5d40

It's true! May history judge who was right in the end.

Reply
New User's Guide to LessWrong
habryka5d20

Thank you! Fixed.

Reply
Visionary arrogance and a criticism of LessWrong voting
habryka5d31

Definitely! Requests are totally fine!

Reply
Visionary arrogance and a criticism of LessWrong voting
habryka5d91

*** Comment Guideline: If you downvote this post, please also add a Reaction or a 30+ character comment prepended with "Downvote note:" on what to improve. ***

Sorry, to be clear, this is not a valid comment guideline on LessWrong. The current moderation system allows authors to moderate comments (assuming they have the necessary amount of karma). It does not allow authors to change how people vote. I can imagine at some point maybe doing something here, but it seems dicey, and is not part of how LessWrong currently works.

Reply
Load More
CS 2881r
7 days ago
(+204)
Roko's Basilisk
2 months ago
Roko's Basilisk
2 months ago
AI Psychology
9 months ago
(+58/-28)