Oh damn the superalignment team has been dissolved.

Just checked who from the authors of the Weak-To-Strong Generalization paper is still at OpenAI:

• Collin Burns
• Jan Hendrick Kirchner
• Leo Gao
• Bowen Baker
• Yining Chen
• Adrian Ecoffet
• Manas Joglekar
• Jeff Wu

Gone are:

• Ilya Sutskever
• Pavel Izmailov^[1]
• Jan Leike
• Leopold Aschenbrenner

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1. Reason unknown ↩︎

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This is a good question, especially since there've been some short form posts recently that are high quality and would've made good top-level posts—after all, posts can be short.

Back then I didn't try to get the hostel to sign the metaphorical assurance contract with me, maybe that'd work. A good dominant assurance contract website might work as well.

I guess if you go camping together then conferences are pretty scalable, and if I was to organize another event I'd probably try to first message a few people to get a minimal number of attendees together. After all, the spectrum between an extended party and a festival/conference is fluid.

Trying to organize a festival probably isn't risky. It doesn't seem like it'd involve too much time or money.

I don't think that's true. I've co-organized one one weekend-long retreat in a small hostel for ~50 people, and the cost was ~$5k. Me & the co-organizers probably spent ~50h in total on organizing the event, as volunteers.

That's unfortunate that you are less likely to come, and I'm glad to get the feedback. I could primarily reply with reasons why I think it was the right call (e.g. helpful for getting the event off the ground, helpful for pinpointing the sort of ideas+writing the event is celebrating, I think it's prosocial for me to be open about info like this generally, etc) but I don't think that engages with the fact that it left you personally less likely to come. I still overall think if the event sounds like a good time to you (e.g. interesting conversations with people you'd like to talk to and/or exciting activities) and it's worth the cost to you then I hope you come :-)

Maybe to clarify my comment: I was merely describing my (non-endorsed^[1]) observed emotional content wrt the festival, and my intention with the comment was not to wag my finger at you guys in the manner of "you didn't invite me".

I wonder whether other people have a similar emotional reaction.

I appreciate Lightcone being open with the information around free invitations though! I think I'd have bought a ticket anyway${}_{65\%}$ if I had time around that weekend, and I think I'd probably have a blast if I would attend.

Btw: What's the chance of a 2nd LessOnline?

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1. I think my reaction is super bound up in icky status-grabbing/status-desiring/inner-ring-infiltrating parts of my psyche which I'm not happy with. ↩︎

Oops, you're correct about the typo and also about how this doesn't restrict belief change to Brownian motion. Fixing the typo.