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Forecasting & Prediction
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Applied to
What will the first human-level AI look like, and how might things go wrong?
by
EuanMcLean
10d
ago
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Higher-Order Forecasts
by
BoltonBailey
11d
ago
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Scorable Functions: A Format for Algorithmic Forecasting
by
ozziegooen
12d
ago
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Forecasting: the way I think about it
by
Molly
25d
ago
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Applied to
Now THIS is forecasting: understanding Epoch’s Direct Approach
by
Elliot_Mckernon
1mo
ago
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Applied to
Transfer Learning in Humans
by
niplav
1mo
ago
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Applied to
SFS: Foundations of Forecasting
by
Raemon
2mo
ago
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A Gentle Introduction to Risk Frameworks Beyond Forecasting
by
pendingsurvival
2mo
ago
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Applied to
[EA xpost] The Rationale-Shaped Hole At The Heart Of Forecasting
by
dschwarz
2mo
ago
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Applied to
Thousands of malicious actors on the future of AI misuse
by
Zershaaneh Qureshi
2mo
ago
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Applied to
How to best measure if and to what degree you’re too pessimistic or too optimistic?
by
CstineSublime
2mo
ago
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Applied to
Timelines to Transformative AI: an investigation
by
Zershaaneh Qureshi
2mo
ago
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Applied to
[Linkpost] Vague Verbiage in Forecasting
by
trevor
2mo
ago
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Applied to
User-inclination-guessing algorithms: registering a goal
by
ProgramCrafter
2mo
ago
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Applied to
Carlo: uncertainty analysis in Google Sheets
by
Mo Putera
2mo
ago
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Applied to
Results from an Adversarial Collaboration on AI Risk (FRI)
by
Forecasting Research Institute
3mo
ago
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Applied to
Self-Resolving Prediction Markets
by
jacobjacob
3mo
ago
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Applied to
The World in 2029
by
Nathan Young
3mo
ago
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Applied to
Approaching Human-Level Forecasting with Language Models
by
Fred Zhang
3mo
ago