Martin Randall

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My time on LessWrong is limited due to other commitments. Do not expect replies.

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Review: "We can't disagree forever"

Some interesting results from We Can't Disagree Forever by Geanakoplos and Polemarchakis (1982) that changed how I think of Aumann Agreement, along with some toy examples. AI assistance: Claude helped with early feedback, copyedits, and deadlines. All words and errors are my own. Recap and definitions Consider two ideal Bayesians...

Feb 2315

Martin Randall's Shortform

Jan 3, 20256

Snake Eyes Paradox

Disclaimer: this is a personal blog post that I'm posting for my benefit and do not expect to be valuable to LessWrong readers in general. If you're reading this, consider not. This post analyzes the "Snake Eyes Paradox" as specified by Daniel Reeves (2013). This is a variation on the...

Jun 11, 202322

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Martin Randall

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Martin Randall

Martin Randall

Review: "We can't disagree forever"

Martin Randall's Shortform

Snake Eyes Paradox

Review: "We can't disagree forever"

Martin Randall's Shortform

Snake Eyes Paradox