Mo Putera

Message

Feedback welcome: www.admonymous.co/mo-putera

Long-time lurker (c. 2013), recent poster. I also write on the EA Forum.

For my own reference: some "benchmarks" (very broadly construed) I pay attention to.

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Mo Putera's Shortform

Jan 16, 202513

Non-loss of control AGI-related catastrophes are out of control too

For the Open Philanthropy AI Worldview Contest Executive Summary * Conditional on AGI being developed by 2070, we estimate the probability that humanity will suffer an existential catastrophe due to loss of control (LoC) over an AGI system at ~6%, using a quantitative scenario model that attempts to systematically assess...

Jun 12, 20232

How should we think about the decision relevance of models estimating p(doom)?

To illustrate what I mean, switching from p(doom) to timelines: * The recent post AGI Timelines in Governance: Different Strategies for Different Timeframes was useful to me in pushing back against Miles Brundage's argument that "timeline discourse might be overrated", by showing how choice of actions (in particular in the...

May 11, 202312

LESSWRONG
LW

LESSWRONG
LW

Mo Putera

Mo Putera

Mo Putera

Mo Putera

Mo Putera's Shortform

Non-loss of control AGI-related catastrophes are out of control too

How should we think about the decision relevance of models estimating p(doom)?

Mo Putera's Shortform

Non-loss of control AGI-related catastrophes are out of control too

How should we think about the decision relevance of models estimating p(doom)?