Elizabeth

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3. put the spiciest posts behind a paywall, because you have something to say but don't want the entire internet freaking out about it. 

This seems like a great thing to exist and you have my encouragement to write it. 

Well in that case I was the one who was unnecessarily anxious so still feels like a cost, although one well worth paying to get the information faster.

I'm not quite sure what you're asking here. Do you want people interested in solving your particular problem? Solving the class of problems you're in (probably not option)? Solving mysterious illnesses in general?

Are you wondering why there's no one to hire? No one will help you for free? Not enough research money is spent on the topic?

The phenomenon extends beyond math

Additionally, prodigies are amongst the most likely people to experience this, because they spend so much of their early life being the best in the room. Math grad students aren't comparing themselves to the 8 billion people who are worse than them at math, they're comparing themselves to each other, field leaders, and dead people who accomplished more at a given age. 

I've heard that a lot of skill in poker is not when to draw or what to discard, it's knowing how much to bet on a given hand. There isn't that much you can do to improve any given hand, but folding earlier and betting more on good hands are within your control. 

feels like a metaphor for something. 

I don't know what you mean by "total amount" because ppm is a concentration

The spray is clearly delivering a set amount, but describing it in ppm. Since the volume and density of air inside then nose isn't changing, you can treat the change as a count rather than concentration. 

 

that tweet's interpretation agrees with mine.

My understanding of the tweet's model is that [actual released amount] * [8 hours] = 0.11ppm, so [released amount] = 0.11/8.

I still don't understand your number. Could you expand the equation behind "If NO is produced and reacts immediately, say in 20 seconds, this means the concentration achieved is 19.8 ppm"?

EA organizations frequently ask for people to run criticism by them ahead of time. I’ve been wary of the push for this norm. My big concerns were that orgs wouldn’t comment until a post was nearly done, and that it would take a lot of time. My recent post  mentioned a lot of people and organizations, so it seemed like useful data.

I reached out to 12 email addresses, plus one person in FB DMs and one open call for information on a particular topic.  This doesn’t quite match what you see in the post because some people/orgs were used more than once, and other mentions were cut. The post was in a fairly crude state when I sent it out.

Of those 14: 10 had replied by the start of next day. More than half of those replied within a few hours. I expect this was faster than usual because no one had more than a few paragraphs relevant to them or their org, but is still impressive.

It’s hard to say how sending an early draft changed things. Austin Chen got some extra anxiety joked about being anxious because their paragraph was full of TODOs (because it was positive and I hadn’t worked as hard fleshing out the positive mentions ahead of time). Turns out they were fine but then I was worried I'd stressed them out. I could maybe have saved myself one stressful interaction if I’d realized I was going to cut an example ahead of time

Only 80,000 Hours, Anima International, and GiveDirectly failed to respond before publication (7 days after I emailed them). 

I didn’t keep as close track of changes, but at a minimum replies led to 2 examples being removed entirely, 2 clarifications and some additional information that made the post better. So overall I'm very glad I solicited comments, and found the process easier than expected. 


 

Wait if 0.11ppm*hr is the integral, doesn't that suggest the total amount is 0.11ppm?  My biologist friends have failed me but that's this twitter comment's interpretation.

on the reagent math: I believe the methycellulose is fairly bulky (because it's sold separately as a powder to inhale), which makes the lower about of NO more believable. 

Elizabeth2-2

Yeah I definitely misread that ppm/hour. I'm unsure how to interpret *hrs, that seems nonsensical. I'm under a tight deadline right now but have reached out to some bio friends for help. Assuming this doesn't turn out to be a typo, I'd like to give you a bounty for catching this, can you PM me your paypal info?

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