Probability and Predictions

Sep 05, 2017

by Scott Alexander

The Pyramid And The Garden

262y7 min readShow Highlight
4

On Overconfidence

113y14 min readShow Highlight
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Techniques for probability estimates

698y6 min readShow Highlight
59

Confidence levels inside and outside an argument

1338y6 min readShow Highlight
189

Interlude

The Logician And The God-Emperor

115y1 min readShow Highlight
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Reverse Psychology

73y7 min readShow Highlight
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