On Dec 13th 2017, a still-anonymous redditor announced they would donate 5,057 BTC, the majority of their wealth, to charitable causes via the Pineapple Fund.
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The Pineapple Fund ("just Pine and a friend") ended up receiving over 10,000 applications and donating 5,104 BTC ($55.75M) over 4 months to 60 charities: $5M to GiveDirectly, $5M to the Open Medicine Foundation, $5M to MAPS for psychedelics research, $2M to charity: water, $2M to the SENS Foundation, etc.
I asked Sol to estimate how much impact 🍍 had, by doing "lookbacks" with a pluralistic accounting of "impact", since Pine's giving was in the spirit of Richard Ngo's "things that I personally am unusually excited about". Its one-sentence summary was
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Sol's analysis (all 60 grants individually & overview), based on work in this spreadsheet
Pineapple Fund: retrospective grant lookback and counterfactual impact estimate
Evidence cutoff: 16 August 2026
Portfolio: 60 grants made from December 2017 to March 2018
Purpose: a retrospective evaluation, not a recommendation about where to donate now
Bottom line
There is no honest single number for the Pineapple Fund's impact. The strongest answer is a vector of outcomes plus a separate attribution model:
* Ledger: Pine's 60 displayed grant labels sum to 55.75m. The often-cited 55m is rounded. A third-party ledger says 55.6m only because it records Reagent (100k) and Enthea ($50k) as $0; I do not silently discard those two grants. The fund reported 5,104 BTC ultimately donated, versus 5,057 BTC in the launch announcement.
* Counterfactual mission resources (not social impact): my grant-by-grant model says roughly 26, 485, 000–49,536,500, central $39,219,500, probably increased grantees' mission resources relative to the no-Pine world. That is 48%–89% of nominal dollars, central 70%. This is a deliberately broad sensitivity range based on gift restriction, grantee size, evidence of a binding funding constraint, absorption/delay, and other funders