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Prediction Markets
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Applied to
Manifold Predicted the AI Extinction Statement and CAIS Wanted it Deleted
by
David Chee
4d
ago
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Applied to
Question for Prediction Market people: where is the money supposed to come from?
by
Robert_AIZI
8d
ago
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The Base Rate Times, news through prediction markets
by
vandemonian
11d
ago
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Applied to
How to Interpret Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities
by
Ruby
1mo
ago
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Applied to
Aiming for Convergence Is Like Discouraging Betting
by
Sinclair Chen
2mo
ago
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Applied to
Play My Futarchy/Prediction Market Mafia Game
by
Arjun Panickssery
2mo
ago
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Applied to
Missing forecasting tools: from catalogs to a new kind of prediction market
by
MichaelLatowicki
3mo
ago
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Applied to
How well did Manifold predict GPT-4?
by
David Chee
3mo
ago
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Applied to
Rationalism and social rationalism
by
philosophybear
3mo
ago
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Applied to
Latent variables for prediction markets: motivation, technical guide, and design considerations
by
Ruby
4mo
ago
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Applied to
Curated blind auction prediction markets and a reputation system as an alternative to editorial review in news publication.
by
ciaran
4mo
ago
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Applied to
Stop-gradients lead to fixed point predictions
by
Johannes Treutlein
5mo
ago
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Applied to
[Crosspost] ACX 2022 Prediction Contest Results
by
Noosphere89
5mo
ago
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Applied to
Ad Fraud Detection Prediction Market
by
Raemon
5mo
ago
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Applied to
Prediction Markets for Science
by
Ruby
5mo
ago
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Applied to
Verbal parity: What is it and how to measure it? + an edited version of "Against John Searle, Gary Marcus, the Chinese Room thought experiment and its world"
by
philosophybear
6mo
ago