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I've observed some people engaged in activities that I believe are promoting enmity in the course of their efforts to raise awareness about AI risk. To be frank, I think those activities are increasing AI risk, including but not limited to extinction risk. However, that's a stronger claim than I...
Also available in markdown at theMultiplicity.ai/blog/schelling-goodness. This post explores a notion I'll call Schelling goodness. Claims of Schelling goodness are not first-order moral verdicts like "X is good" or "X is bad." They are claims about a class of hypothetical coordination games in the sense of Thomas Schelling, where the...
Preface Several friends have asked me about what psychological effects I think could affect human judgement about x-risk. This isn't a complete answer, but in 2018 I wrote a draft of "AI Research Considerations for Human Existential Safety" (ARCHES) that included an overview of cognitive biases I thought (and still...
Preceded by: "Consciousness as a conflationary alliance term for intrinsically valued internal experiences" tl;dr: Chatbots are probably "conscious" in a variety of important ways. We humans should probably be nice to each other about the moral disagreements and confusions we're about to uncover in our concept of "consciousness". Epistemic status:...
This post starts out pretty gloomy but ends up with some points that I feel pretty positive about. Day to day, I'm more focussed on the positive points, but awareness of the negative has been crucial to forming my priorities, so I'm going to start with those. I'm mostly addressing...
People often attack frontier AI labs for "hypocrisy" when the labs admit publicly that AI is an extinction threat to humanity. Often these attacks ignore the difference between various kinds of hypocrisy, some of which are good, including what I'll call "reformative hypocrisy". Attacking good kinds of hypocrisy can be...