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If you want people to actually read what you are posting, you should send the costly signal showing it isn't slop. Crossposted from canaryinstitute.ai/blog/send-me-the-prompt. I just saw a Xeet on Xitter [1] that explained the most efficient compression algorithm I've ever seen: Like a lot of good humor, it contains...
How the "Glass Perimeter" could enable AI treaties Crossposted from canaryinstitute.ai/blog/cant-trust-then-verify. Thanks to Naci Cankaya for reviewing an earlier draft of this post; I'm deliberately simplifying many aspects for conceptual clarity, and any mistakes are mine. He also asked me to emphasize that this is a proposal, and many pieces...
How smart is AI right now? Crossposted from canaryinstitute.ai/blog/what-ai-scores. A few months ago, a friend of mine pointed out that we're entering an interesting phase: AI is going to be smarter than us, and we're not going to know how much smarter. Up until now, our measurements of AI capabilities...
Crossposted from canaryinstitute.ai/blog/lessons-from-vannevar. Related LW pieces on AI Safety field-building and the push-vs-pull question. Related posts * A system overview for near-term, low-trust AI compute verification — Naci Cankaya. A concrete example of the verification work built on Aumann and Lindell's covert-adversary framework that this essay cites. * AI Safety...
Crossposted from canaryinstitute.ai/blog/biggest-bet-in-history. Related posts * AGI and the EMH: markets are not expecting aligned or unaligned AI in the next 30 years — Trevor Chow, Basil Halperin, J. Zachary Mazlish. The canonical statement of "interest rates as a revealed-preference indicator of AGI timing"; this piece is the capex-side companion....
Crossposted from canaryinstitute.ai/blog/frontier-act-tech-pace. Related posts * The Best AI Bill Congress Hasn't Introduced Yet — my section-by-section read of the GAAIA discussion draft this bill grew out of; this post assumes you've at least skimmed it. Just two days ago I wrote about the Great American AI Act (GAAIA), a...
Related posts Crossposted from canaryinstitute.ai/blog/gaaia-visibility-not-control. I haven't seen any discussion, other than a brief mention by Zvi. Overall looks like many beneficial first steps, and surprised not to have seen more discussion of it. * Incident reporting for AI safety * Chad Jones's Paper Modeling AI and X-Risk vs. Growth...