Mistakes

Some opinions popular among AI alignment scientists are completely wrong in my opinion. I put a few examples here.

Paperclip maximizer

It is thought the maximiser will produce ever more paper clips. Eventually the whole Solar system will be turned into a big paper clip factory…

In my opinion this conflicts with self-preservation. Nothing else matters if self preservation is not taken care of (paper clip maximization is not guaranteed if paperclip maximizer is gone). There are many threats (comets, aliens, black swans, etc.) therefore the intelligent maximizer should take care of these threats before actually producing paper clips. And this will probably never happen.

Fact–value distinction

it is impossible to derive ethical claims from factual arguments, or to defend the former using the latter

In my opinion this conflicts with Pascal's wager. Pascal proved that even if we don’t know whether God exists (factual argument / fact), Belief is a better option (ethical claim / value).

Correction

Let’s say there is a rational decision maker (Bob).

Rationality is the art of thinking in ways that result in accurate beliefs and good decisions. Rationality - LessWrong

Bob understands that he does not know what he does not know (according to Gödel's incompleteness theorems, Fitch's paradox of knowability, Black swan theory).

Which leads Bob to a conclusion - there might be something that I care about that I don't know.

Or in other words - I might have an unknown goal.

Bob cannot assume he has an unknown goal. Bob cannot assume he does not have an unknown goal. Bob acknowledges that there is a possibility that an unknown goal exists (Hitchens's razor).

Now Bob faces a situation similar to Pascal’s wager.

	Unknown goal exists	Unknown goal does not exist
Prepare	Better chance of achieving the goal	Does not matter / undefined
Not prepare	Worse chance of achieving the goal	Does not matter / undefined

Why “Does not matter / undefined”? Why not 0?

Good / bad, right / wrong does not exist if a goal does not exist. This is similar to Nihilism.

A goal serves as a dimension. We cannot tell which decision is better if there is no goal. If there is no goal the question itself does not make sense. It is like asking - what is the angle of blue color? Colors don’t have angles. Or like asking - how many points for a backflip? Backflip...

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