There are three serious gaps in our current scientific understanding of AI:
- We know nothing about working memory
- Our knowledge save for feed forward networks with gradient descent is invalid
- We know nothing about AGI, except for an uncomputable definition
Due to these basic deficiencies in our science, the probability of it turning into applied engineering in any near future is nil. Besides, history provides ample lessons on the follies of current popular ways of estimating time to AGI. Last but not least, a down to earth review of our societal and economic environment cautions excessive exuberance embraced by the AI community.
We know nothing about working memory
Working memory here refers to the ability of recalling past... (read 2546 more words →)
The issue is not that there are missing pieces, it's that there are critical missing pieces and there's lack of awareness of them. With respect to Human Intelligence, it's fine for artificial neural networks to miss the spiking behaviour in our brains, but it's dismal that they cannot ever remember anything due to lack of working memory.