hereisonehand

If I have a fever, what is the likelihood that I have a coronavirus infection? I'm actually less interested in the answer than in the underlying thought process, so feel free to insert variables where reliable numbers are hard to find. I'm just having trouble thinking clearly about this. Do...

I'm a medical student, and I will often read articles that are critical of scientific literature (Scott Alexander on Pharmacogenomics; EMCrit on thrombolysis in ischemic stroke, etc.) with some awe at the authors' ability to evaluate evidence. I'm sure that part of this is practice. If I spend more time...