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japancolorado
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Bucket Errors
japancolorado3mo10

Thank you for the in-depth post! The extra examples really fleshed out the intuition I got from Anna's post, and I also appreciated the discussion of when you need less buckets.

My personal example of a bucket error: I used to abandon plans whenever I felt dread about them, even though many would have worked out. I realized I can separate "this feels hopeless" and "this won't work" into different buckets and pursue worthwhile plans despite the negative feelings.

To recognize I'm making a bucket error in the future, I'll look out for when I'm reacting strongly to information a neutral observer wouldn't, like imagining my plan failing or seeing "oshun" misspelled.

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The (Unofficial) Rationality: A-Z Anki Deck
japancolorado3mo10

Thanks for the catch. Reuploaded it just now, and it should be available in 24 hours.

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The (Unofficial) Rationality: A-Z Anki Deck
japancolorado3mo*70

UPDATE: For some reason, the notes didn’t get uploaded. I reuploaded it, and the fixed deck should be available in 24 hours.
Yes, sorry, I should have warned about this! AnkiWeb doesn't publish shared items until 24 hours after they get shared. It should be available by tomorrow!

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[$10k bounty] Read and compile Robin Hanson’s best posts
japancolorado6mo40

There's this anthology you might be interested in.

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Hammertime Day 1: Bug Hunt
japancolorado7mo10

I've come up with what I think might be a better ranking of bug difficulty after being dissatisfied with my intuitive rankings for being pretty arbitrary. I think the ranking system I've thought of might do a better job of sorting bugs in a way where you work on specific hammers for each level.

Rank your bugs 1-5 in terms of solving difficulty:

  1. I think I could solve this right now with concrete techniques (TAPs, YTs, Design, etc.).
  2. I think I could solve this with about a quarter hour of concrete techniques now and practice over the next 2 weeks.
  3. I think I could solve this with about a half hour of introspective techniques now and practice over the next 2 weeks.
  4. I think I could solve this with an hour of trying to understand the bug now and about a month of daily practice on eliminating the bug.
  5. I feel panic and existential dread when I even think about solving this bug.

With this system, most of my bugs would fall on the 1-3 side, a couple on 4, and maybe one or two on 5.

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Hammertime Day 7: Aversion Factoring
japancolorado7mo10

A trivial inconvenience of my gym occasionally not having a barbell cover to protect my back during squats prevented me from going to the gym consistently. I didn't do probably around 10 workouts just because I got an ugh field around my back being in minor pain while the barbell was on it.

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Hammertime Day 6: Mantras
japancolorado7mo10

"Pain is inevitable but suffering is optional"

I already know that I don't enjoy pain/like that person/approve of how someone treated me/like being tired, so why do I need to suffer over it? Why not just correct the error if it is correctable, let it be if not, and then move on?

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Hammertime Day 5: Comfort Zone Expansion
japancolorado7mo10

I learned how to sing and make music because I decided to sign up for Men's Choir in HS, even after (mistakenly) believing that I was tone-deaf. It was one of the best decisions I've made.

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Hammertime Day 3: TAPs
japancolorado7mo10

My sapience spell is to pay attention to the sensations of breathing at my abdomen whenever I notice my hair is in my face.

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Hammertime Day 1: Bug Hunt
japancolorado8mo30

I think that an unconventional hammer(at least by average person standards) that I've used for almost all nails in my life is beeminder. Many people would gape at the hundreds of dollars in derailments I've spent over the years, but it's essentially the price of the motivation you're buying. It seems to be one of the best personal incentive alignment tools out there, at least that I've tried. It works best when you're Type Bee Personality, which I would guess most people on LessWrong are. Definitely at least give it a look at!

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30The (Unofficial) Rationality: A-Z Anki Deck
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11Would anyone be interested in pursuing the Virtue of Scholarship with me?
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