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How superforecasting could be manipulated
Jeremiah8205y10

I have never commented on LW before, so I'm not sure what the policy is on links, but I wrote a whole post explaining my worries about superforecasting. On the off chance that it serves as a useful appendage to this post here's the link:

https://wearenotsaved.com/2020/05/30/my-final-case-against-superforecasting-with-criticisms-considered-objections-noted-and-assumptions-buttressed/

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