x

JonathanRystroem

Message

36

4y

Safety timelines: How long will it take to solve alignment?

TLDR; no one talks about how far we are towards safe AGI and the focus is on when AGI doom arrives. We want to readjust this focus and measure progress, guide and facilitate research, and evaluate projects in AI safety for impact. We also ask you to add your views...

Sep 19, 202238

JonathanRystroem

Subscribe

Message

36

4y

JonathanRystroem

Safety timelines: How long will it take to solve alignment?

TLDR; no one talks about how far we are towards safe AGI and the focus is on when AGI doom arrives. We want to readjust this focus and measure progress, guide and facilitate research, and evaluate projects in AI safety for impact. We also ask you to add your views...

Sep 19, 202238

Safety timelines: How long will it take to solve alignment?

Esben Kran

Esben Kran, JonathanRystroem, Steinthal

3y

TLDR; no one talks about how far we are towards safe AGI and the focus is on when AGI doom arrives. We want to readjust this focus and measure progress, guide and facilitate research, and evaluate projects in AI safety for impact. We also ask you to add your views to this survey.

Prelude

It was a hot London Summer day and fourteen people had gathered to discuss the future of AI safety. To ascertain the mission criticality of our endeavor, we drew everyone’s AGI timelines on a whiteboard. The product of our estimates was close to the Metaculus estimate and some expressed concern at the stress of impending doom.

We then proceeded to draw our... (read 1790 more words →)

7

38

LESSWRONG
LW

LESSWRONG
LW

JonathanRystroem

JonathanRystroem

JonathanRystroem

Safety timelines: How long will it take to solve alignment?

JonathanRystroem

JonathanRystroem

JonathanRystroem

Safety timelines: How long will it take to solve alignment?

Prelude