Are you trying to turn Earth into dath ilan?
All of this makes a lot of sense when it comes to rules for society. And I understand that certain forms of government, or certain laws, would be effective for almost any utility function. What I’m questioning isn’t how you achieve your goals, it’s where goals themselves come from, your terminal values.
The quote comes from HPMOR, when Harry gets his wand and it shares Voldemort’s core.
Due to the magic resonance, Quirrell can’t cast spells on Harry, so the test wasn’t faked.
I definitely think that “Adam did not kill him” would be an accurate and rational belief, but there still would technically be some evidence that could convince her otherwise (such as by using a time machine.) Therefore the probability she should hold of that belief should not be quite 100%, though very close.
But another important part of unfalsifiable is that she COULD have been convinced otherwise, that had there been different evidence she would have thought Adam to be the killer.
The most important thing here is that beliefs are probabilistic. It is quite possible for a perfect Bayesian to believe something and to think it possible that they could encounter evidence which persuades them otherwise. Eve should hold a high, but not 100%, probability that Adam was innocent.
I don’t see how any of this could apply to theism, though, since theism isn’t founded on much evidence.
Do you really think he would care enough about three hours of LessWrong shutdown to write the chapter?
The button appeared on my screen, but I'm new to Less Wrong, definitely do not have 1000+ karma, and didn't get an email... did everyone see it for some reason?
Can't you just pull the plug before it can run any simulations?
They were in black text.
I saw two more posts that I’ve already read. I have Unread Only checked. I think there’s some problem with the unread filter.