“Prediction” and “explanation” are not causation

the general sense of “explanation” means a conceptual understanding of a phenomenon. In statistics, “explanation” implies no such understanding

I don't understand what you're saying here. Does statistics use "explanation" as a technical jargon term for something that's not gearsy?

Hiring engineers and researchers to help align GPT-3

What's the quickest way to get up to speed and learn the relevant skills, to the level expected of someone working at OpenAI?

Engaging Seriously with Short Timelines

Any ideas for accruing money quickly outside of a job? I don't have much capital to invest currently.

Can you gain weirdness points?

This is way clearer thinking than I previously had about this topic. Thank you!

Life at Three Tails of the Bell Curve

I'm high enough on conscientiousness to not fail, but not high enough on conscientiousness to succeed (or catch up to my neuroticism).

Life at Three Tails of the Bell Curve

Hey how do I be you? The most I got was one time when I drank an energy drink and then I obsessed over a spreadsheet for 2 hours and then crashed after a total of 4 hours.

SSC Meetups Everywhere: Rochester, NY

Can't wait! I've convinced a friend or two of mine to come, hope to see the rest of you there!

Specificity: Your Brain's Superpower

Another example of going up/down the ladder/lattice of abstraction, is also given by Paul Graham. In his essay "General and Surprising", he noted how valuable insights are generally-applicable, usually meaning abstract. However, he noted that it's often more attainable to say something more specific about already-known-to-be-important-things (as long as that more specific thing is new).

More specifically, being specific seems like it would catch more mistakes/laziness/haziness in reasoning. In contrast, being more general seems better for having new ideas, rather than getting them to specifically match reality well.

Specificity: Your Brain's Superpower

As far as I know, being specific is like half (most? (technically all?)) of the core of rational thinking and living. Looking forward to more out of this, based on what's posted so far!

A vote against spaced repetition
Spaced repetition is still good for knowledge you need to retrieve immediately, when a 2-second delay would make it useless.

Not sure about other people/situations, BUT I personally have found, in classroom settings relating to math and CS theory, that a 2-second delay can impede understanding. Especially when a definition relies on a combination of well-chunked previous concepts, which is especially the case when dealing with math.

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