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3Nikita Sokolsky's Shortform
1y
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25Beware the science fiction bias in predictions of the future
1y
20
22My 5-step program for losing weight
1y
20
13Easy guide for running a local Rationality meetup
3y
1
137Contra EY: Can AGI destroy us without trial & error?
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3Nikita Sokolsky's Shortform
1y
1
Monday Dinner at the Safehouse - Seattle
nsokolsky2mo10

Is it OK to park in the driveway (visible on Google Maps street view when clicking the address) or would you prefer that attendees park somewhere else, such as alongside 23rd Ave? My likelihood of attending does not change based off your answer, just asking in case I find parking 5 blocks north and then it turns out I could’ve just parked in the driveway :-)

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Nikita Sokolsky's Shortform
nsokolsky1y20

If you have a Substack blog, consider using Datawrapper embeds for inserting tables or charts. For some reason Substack has been somewhat hiding this cool feature as its not visible in the menu and poorly advertised but it lets you create highly customizable charts/tables for your Substack posts - and is also supported on Wordpress or in the form of an HTML embed if you have a self-hosted blog/website. I wrote a brief guideline on how to use it in my blog - and you can see cool Datawrapper embeds in Nate Silver's substack.

Sadly Datawrapper not supported on LessWrong (yet) but LW already has native support for table embeds, so its less relevant.

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on bacteria, on teeth
nsokolsky1y134

Whatever happened to Lumina, btw? Was anyone able to see any changes in their dental health so far?

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Examine your assumptions
nsokolsky1y*20

Side note: The original 'chickenpox bomber' illustration (using the Douglas F-4 Phantom) first appeared in Robert Ball's 1985 book "The Fundamentals of Aircraft Combat Survivability Analysis and Design", later refined in the 2nd edition from 2003. He never mentions Wald, Wallis or the SRG in the entire book, so I'm likewise convinced that the "mathematician outsmarts the military" story is pretty much BS.Image

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OpenAI: Facts from a Weekend
nsokolsky1y20

Do you think this will have any impact on OpenAI's future revenues / ability to deliver frontier-level models?

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tylerjohnston's Shortform
nsokolsky1y10

Here’s the corrected link: https://pastebin.com/B824Hk8J

Are you running this from an EC2 instance or some other cloud provider? They might just have a blocklist in IPs belonging to data centers.

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Beware the science fiction bias in predictions of the future
nsokolsky1y30

Thank you! Here's the transcript: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4kphivjxngJmEdWsN/transcript-tyler-cowen-on-stories 

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Beware the science fiction bias in predictions of the future
nsokolsky1y10

Sorry for not being clear. My question was whether LW really likes the nanobot story because we think it might happen within our own lifetimes. If we knew for a fact that human-destroying-nanobots would take another 100 years to develop, would discussing them still be just as interesting?

Side note: I don't think the "sci-fi bias" concept is super coherent in my head, I wrote this post as best as I can, but I fully acknowledge that its not fully fleshed out.

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tylerjohnston's Shortform
nsokolsky1y50

Hm, are you sure they're actually that protective against scrapers? I ran a quick script and was able to extract all 548 unique pages just fine: https://pastebin.com/B824Hk8J The final output was:

Status codes encountered:
200: 548
404: 20

I reran it two more times, it still worked. I'm using a regular residential IP address, no fancy proxies. Maybe you're just missing the code to refresh the cookies (included in my script)? I'm probably missing something of course, just curious why the scraping seems to be easy enough from my machine?

Reply1
tylerjohnston's Shortform
nsokolsky1y10

They could but if you’re managing your firewall it’s easier to apply a blanket rule rather than trying to divide things by subdomain, unless you have a good reason to do otherwise. I wouldn’t assume malicious intent.

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