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What do you expect AI capabilities may look like in 2028?
nonzerosum1y10

Can you define what AGI means to you in concrete observable terms? Will it concretely be an app that runs on a computer and does white collar jobs, or something else? 

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Peter's COVID Consolidated Brief - 29 Apr
nonzerosum5y40

This is fantastic, thanks. My only wish is that it was more often, ideally weekly or 2x per week for now and then decreasing in frequency as the situation becomes more stable. This is because with it coming out less often and there being lots of seemingly significant news in the meantime, I still feel the need to stay up to date - but I think if I knew something of this quality and comprehensiveness was coming out often I wouldn't. If it was subscription only, I'm pretty sure I'd pay for it, too - though that's probably not a good thing as it'd reduce the number that can benefit.

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9What do you expect AI capabilities may look like in 2028?
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2What are your favorite posts, podcast episodes, and recorded talks, on AI timelines, or factors that would influence AI timelines?
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5Is there a LessWrong-adjacent place to hire freelancers/seek freelance work?
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4What are some smaller-but-concrete challenges related to AI safety that are impacting people today?
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12Who is available for contract work? (A la the Hacker News "Who Wants To Be Hired" threads)
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5Thought experiment: Imagine you were assigned to help a random person in your community become as peaceful and joyful as the most peaceful and joyful person you'd ever met. What would you try?
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1What do you believe are the most critical open questions/hypotheses that could inform a more effective COVID response?
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3COVID-19 estimated test detection windows for IgG, IgM and nasal PCR tests
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4Avoiding coronavirus spread from family members, roommates, extended family and close friends
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12Since the "Will COVID-19 survivors suffer lasting disability at a high rate?" thread was posted, has new information emerged that may update those estimates?
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