Questions About Outperforming Common Wisdom
How can one navigate a territory with more accuracy than experts, when one is not an an expert themselves? Can one, with no knowledge of the territory, make from the maps of experts a map that is better than any one of them? Suppose you are new to a competitive and technical discipline. I'm a reasonably competitive dancer, so I'll use that as an example, although we could just as easily be talking about martial arts, or debate, or any of a hundred others. In any such discipline, you are immediately faced with a challenge- to figure out how to learn faster and more effectively than your peer group, so that you may outpace them, get better at them, and in time, defeat them. The problem is, of course, that you don't know how to get better at your discipline. But you do have some advantages to turn to. Let's say that you can determine with some accuracy what the demonstrated skill level of someone else is, as well as your own skill. Furthermore, let's say that you aren't significantly more limited by resources than your opponents, but that you also don't have significantly more resources to contribute. Is it possible, from just these two factors alone, to consistently outperform? Obviously, if your opponents are rational actors, the answer is no. To learn faster than someone, you either need to be spending more time than them, or be spending that time more effectively. But the good news for you is that your opponents are very unlikely to be rational actors. The worst of them will be making choices seemingly at random, and are unlikely to pose any real threat. The best of them will be acting according to common wisdom. In competitive ballroom dance, common wisdom instructs what teachers you should learn from, and how you should spend your time practicing. These are probably the two most important questions an aspiring dancer can ask themselves. However, teachers very wildly in terms of what type of practice they recommend, and often contradict each other. Inquiry