After Tesla's stock surged tenfold around 2020, a friend asked me what I knew that others didn't. It’s a bit complicated to explain, but a similar opportunity might arise with Lemonade Insurance in the next 3-4 years. The current situation is a combination of a very promising business and a suppressed stock valuation, mostly by external factors.
I'm open to the possibility of being wrong, and I acknowledge the inherent risks of stock-picking (there's a note on stock-picking at the end of the document). I'm sharing my thoughts here partly to invite others to point out potential risks I might be overlooking. And of course, none of this is financial advice in the legal sense.
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A brief earnings update:
LMND is a small cap and therefore it's a playground of traders and short seller. The stock is now down about -27% basically deleting the huge gains of the past two weeks. Classic "buy the rumor, sell the news" situation.
Given the slower planned growth there is perhaps less urgency in building a position. However the current price seems attractive long term.