anithite

Summary: Analysis claiming that automating X% of the economy can only boost GDP by 1/(1-X) assumes all sectors must scale proportionally. The economy is a graph of processes, not a pipeline. Subgraphs can grow independently if they don't bottleneck on inputs from non-growing sectors. AI-driven automation of physical production could...

TLDR:When addressing "How would an AI do X" questions, prefer simple existence proofs involving things humans can currently do rather than "magic" seeming things like nanotechnology or the fully general "AI will just be smart enough to figure it out". TLDR:END Commonly in AI risk conversations questions of the form...

TLDR:full task completion training data will soon be available, leading to much more capable agentic AI Capabilities predictions: * Agentic AIs for all white collar tasks * creative problem solving might be solved Business predictions: * MS/GOOG try to capture all the data (web browsing, (web/native)application interactions) * (maybe)creepy examples...

TLDR:If an AI kills all the humans how does it power the datacenters/replace the human economy? Green Goo. (IE:bioengineering) * Natural biotech is amazing * Evolution is dumb and slow * Very simple strategies (EG:vine that climbs a tree and squeezes) are "innovative" and work well in nature. * Designed...

TL:DR:The world is vulnerable to takeover by a human level AI that can copy/paste itself to run perhaps 1M+ instances across all current large AI inference systems. Existing governments work because they have a monopoly on violence. People expect the rules will be enforced and rule breakers punished. Despotic governments...

TL:DR: * Whole brain emulation from first principles isn't happening * LLMs are pretty good/human like * This suggests neural nets are flexible enough to implement human like cognition despite alien architecture used * Training a (mostly) human shaped neural net on brain implant sourced data would be the fastest...

How do two mutually distrusting entities(AGIs, space-faring societies, etc.) enact the results of a negotiated agreement when neither trusts the other? In cryptography there are Trusted third parties. This is a proposal for a protocol allowing them to be built. This is done by having a replicator supplied by party...