LESSWRONG
LW

1177
Douglas_Knight
7721830651
Message
Dialogue
Subscribe

Posts

Sorted by New

Wikitag Contributions

Comments

Sorted by
Newest
8Douglas_Knight's Shortform
6y
33
You Should Get a Reusable Mask
Douglas_Knight3d20

During the last pandemic people were sometimes not allowed to wear reusable respirators, but required to drop down to N95. This is pretty strong evidence that people think they are weird.

Reply
You Should Get a Reusable Mask
Douglas_Knight9d11-1

Without disagreeing with the conclusion, I think this is a poor discussion of the pros and cons. The big con is weirdness points. That's basically why people don't do it. Probably if you articulate that it's easy to see that it's a win, but if you don't articulate it...

Yes, they're supposed to be more effective. I think this is emotionally difficult because it sounds like a Pascal's Wager. Yes, you should invest at the prepper margin, but how far? How many other points are comparably far down the list? What should I do before this? Here's a concrete point: if I have a beard and an N95, I will achieve more by shaving than by switching to a reusable mask. Shaving is pretty low cost (especially, conditionally shaving in the event of crisis), not a tradeoff with changing masks, but knowing to shave is important and competes with mental resources.

Here are two other advantages over paper masks: you say elsewhere that it is more cost effective than paper masks. If you are already committed to having a stock of masks, this makes it much less like a Pascal's Wager and more of free lunch. And I suspect that they are more comfortable, which is important for actually using them.

Reply
Omelas Is Perfectly Misread
Douglas_Knight13d20

I don't think MZB or Breen ever lived in Oregon. They moved to Berkeley for grad school in the mid 60s and except for some time on the east coast, lived in the Bay Area for the rest of their lives.

Reply
Richard Ngo's Shortform
Douglas_Knight1mo40

The points about IQ seem parochially American, not applicable to the rest of the West. But aren't you British, not American? Does this really seem so central in Britain?

Reply
The Cats are On To Something
Douglas_Knight1mo61

Until quite recently, modification of dogs was to make them specialized workers. The teacup poodle was created as a pet, but the standard poodle was created for duck hunting. That doesn't seem a terrible fate.

I don't see how usefulness explains which animals were bred frivolously. I guess the long experience breeding dogs for work could turn into breeding dogs for appearance, but in the 19th century there was frivolous breeding of pigeons, which had previously been bred for food.

The Scottish fold and (American) Persian cat were directly selected for appearance and their health problems are directly related to that feature. Maine coons seem to be natural ("landrace"). Their sixth toes and health problems might be the result of a population bottleneck 400 years ago, or the rapid selection for a new environment, but they were brought for work. I don't know about their friendliness. It makes sense that someone would breed for that for pets, but I don't think that's what happened. Rag dolls going limp when held seems disturbing to me. The one I met seemed more frozen with fear than happy with humans.

Reply
If worker coops are so productive, why aren't they everywhere?
Douglas_Knight2mo20

You had a lot of sources in this post. Half of them are only about ownership, because that's easy to measure. Do you believe them? If not, why cite them? If so, then why not talk about mere ownership?

But the other half are even less believable because control isn't measureable. Good governance is good. But how can you even classify governance as democratic? Are the Southwest town halls democratic? Or are they classified as democratic because the writer like the company?

Your previous post mentioned a lot of pitfalls, but I don't think the United example fell into any of them. And I don't think they are important. Most employee stock is voting shares, but there are so few votes it hardly matters. What is important the large number of small decisions.

Reply
If worker coops are so productive, why aren't they everywhere?
Douglas_Knight2mo30

You start by talking about democratic governance, but then switch to firm ownership. Employee ownership is easy to measure, but does it actually result in information flows? Some people insist that there is a big difference.

To see the difference between merely giving stock and letting workers shape their destiny, look at the airline industry. In return for lower wages in 1994, United Airlines pilots and mechanics got more than half the company’s stock. But life inside the cockpit and at loading ramps barely changed. By contrast, Southwest Airlines employees own only about 11% of the company’s stock, but the company works to encourage and implement workers’ suggestions, in part through town hall-style forums with top management. While there are other important differences between the carriers, workplace culture is a big reason United posted record losses last year while Southwest made a healthy profit–as it has for 29 years.

Southwest had good governance. Did this have any connection to distributed equity? How?

Anyhow, from a theoretical perspective, owning 1/1000 of the firm while having 1/1000 of the responsibility is pretty big free rider problem. If you can make your small part of the firm more efficient, it won't show up in your equity. But just being an employee is theoretically a big incentive to keep the firm surviving. The 1/1000 of the equity seems negligible compared to that.

Reply
Civil Service: a Victim or a Villain?
Douglas_Knight2mo30

There is value figuring out what is going on in America. But since the same thing is going on elsewhere, answers unique to America are incorrect.

Reply
Civil Service: a Victim or a Villain?
Douglas_Knight2mo52

Focusing on the US seems like a mistake, since Dominic Cummings worked in the UK, yet the situation seems to be substantially worse, despite, eg, there being no separation of powers.

How to find workers that will do with Dominic Cummings wants? He found it quite easy to recruit from people already employed by the Department. He didn't need a lot. He couldn't manage a lot. If the masses had ignored him, it would have been fine, but they actively sabotaged. And lots of people he found productive left because it was too difficult.

Reply
Alcohol is so bad for society that you should probably stop drinking
Douglas_Knight2mo100

According to Rorabaugh, Prohibition cut alcohol consumption in half with no long term effect. Whereas the 1840s Temperance movement cut consumption by a factor of 4 for the long term. graph table alcohol consumption time series

Reply
Load More
19Does NYT have policies?
Q
5y
Q
0
8Douglas_Knight's Shortform
6y
33
7Perception of the Concrete vs Statistical: Corruption
10y
7
8Would you notice if science died?
10y
40
16Actually existing prediction markets?
10y
20
35The Cold War divided Science
12y
53
13Games People Play
15y
8
Special Threads
12 years ago
(+14)