I started this as a comment on "Being half wrong about pascal's wager is even worse" but its really long, so I'm posting it in discussion instead. Also I illustrate here using negative examples (hell and equivalents) for the sake of followability and am a little worried about inciting some...
So someone told me that Eliezer Yudkowsky predicted no 5 sigma evidence of the higgs boson, and that 6 sigma evidence had been found. A quick search found the post referred to, and a slightly longer but not particularly thorough search did not find anything discussing it. So: http://lesswrong.com/lw/1dt/open_thread_november_2009/17xb (02...
saw this on reddit. Thought people here would be interested. http://medicaldaily.com/news/20120411/9496/alcohol-solving-skills-analytical-thinking-creativity-study.htm edit: from a comment in the reddit thread http://www.reddit.com/r/science/comments/s50la/drinking_alcohol_may_significantly_enhance/ "The article is here for those who are interested. Going through the article, the measure they chose was the Remote Associates Test. In this test you are given 3 words...