Cross-posted from my substack, https://neverthesamerivertwice.substack.com. The whole family was home around christmas time. We were hanging out in the kitchen after dinner. My brother started asking me about national security law. He’d graduated from a well ranked law school about six months before, and I was about six months away...
This is a dialogue made during the online dialogues party. Phil, River, and I (Garrett) talked about the Kelly criterion. I was under the mistaken impression that it would come up in finite games, even without discount factors. This turned out to be wrong! In such betting games, you always...
Imagine that at the beginning of the pandemic, March 2020, you were given the opportunity to buy a place in the queue to get the vaccine. Imagine knowing nothing more than you actually did in March 2020. You don’t know how long it will take to develop a vaccine, or...