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solomon alon
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Fertility Roundup #2
solomon alon2y11

Evolution will eventually bring fertility back up to normal. It’s inevitable. I don’t know how long it will take. But it will happen. And so will exponential growth.

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Sam Altman's sister claims Sam sexually abused her -- Part 1: Introduction, outline, author's notes
solomon alon2y2-6

From my understanding it’s incredibly unlikely. There are roughly two possibilities.

  1. This a false memory implanted by her therapist.

  2. She always had the memory but only realized what it was later or only decided to act on it later.

Note often time children don’t process sexual assault as an incredibly traumatic until years later. either because a therapist brings a memory to the forefront or something happens to bring the memory to the forefront or even just learning about what sex is can cuase the memoru to be traumatic.

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My Effortless Weightloss Story: A Quick Runthrough
solomon alon2y31

Ok so now make a prediction. What kind of data do you expect to see in clinical studies?

For example do you expect RCT’s involving potassium chloride to cause weight loss? Do they actually cause weight loss?

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Why no Roman Industrial Revolution?
solomon alon2y20

Except my intuition is that the Roman’s managed to evade mathlusian living conditions.

Partial evidence: slavery an institution makes very little sense at the mathlusian boundary. Why pay for a slave when human labor costs the amount of food that it covers. (That’s the price of human labor in a mathlusian world)

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My Weirdest Experience
solomon alon2y20

Weirdly enough I dream tons about my phone and laptop. It’s usually how I know if I fell asleep or not(while napping during the day). Do I remember looking at my phone or not.

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A full explanation to Newcomb's paradox.
solomon alon5y10

That's a interesting point. 

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A full explanation to Newcomb's paradox.
solomon alon5y30

That's a valid point. Still I think four would still be the most likely and since the payoff is significantly bigger it's still worth it to choose just B.

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A full explanation to Newcomb's paradox.
solomon alon5y10

I started reading the FDT paper and it seems to make a lot more sense than TDT. And most importantly does not fail like TDT did in regards to roko's basilisk.

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A full explanation to Newcomb's paradox.
solomon alon5y10

I agree with you, I just was trying to emphasize that if your the real you your decision doesn't change anything. At most it can do is if the simulation is extremely accurate is it can reveal what was already chosen since you know that you will make the same decision as you previously made in the simulation. The big difference between me and timeless decision theory is that I contend that the only reason to choose just box B is because you might be in the simulation. This completely gets rid of ridiculous problems like roko's basilisk. Since we are not currently simulating a AI therefore a future AI cannot affect us. If the AI had the suspicion that it was in a simulation then it might have a incentive to torture people but given that it has no reason to think that, torture is a waste of time and effort. 

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Why is multi worlds not a good explanation for abiogenesis
solomon alon6y00

while i can't actually understand what your saying because I don't understand physics well enough. As far as I know its not controversial to use the multi world model in the less wrong forums and that most people I respect use it fully. Is what your writing relevant to my question or to the entire lesswrong that believe that the many worlds explanation is correct

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-6A full explanation to Newcomb's paradox.
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-7In support of the inside view and a counter to modest epistemology
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3Why is multi worlds not a good explanation for abiogenesis
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